update CA segment analysis

This commit is contained in:
Thomas PIQUE 2024-03-23 16:23:59 +00:00
parent c1cb3ab396
commit ca30d1daa3
3 changed files with 232 additions and 1277 deletions

77
0_7_CA_segment.py Normal file
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@ -0,0 +1,77 @@
# importations
import pandas as pd
from pandas import DataFrame
import numpy as np
import os
import s3fs
import re
from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score, confusion_matrix, classification_report, recall_score
from sklearn.utils import class_weight
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsClassifier
from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline
from sklearn.compose import ColumnTransformer
from sklearn.preprocessing import OneHotEncoder
from sklearn.impute import SimpleImputer
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler, MaxAbsScaler, MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.metrics import make_scorer, f1_score, balanced_accuracy_score
import seaborn as sns
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.metrics import roc_curve, auc, precision_recall_curve, average_precision_score
from sklearn.exceptions import ConvergenceWarning, DataConversionWarning
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
from scipy.optimize import fsolve
import pickle
import warnings
# define type of activity
type_of_activity = "sport"
PATH = f"projet-bdc2324-team1/Output_expected_CA/{type_of_activity}/"
# comparison with bias of the train set - X train to be defined
X_train_score = logit_cv.predict_proba(X_train)[:, 1]
bias_train_set = find_bias(odd_ratios = odd_ratio(adjust_score_1(X_train_score)),
y_objective = y_train["y_has_purchased"].sum(),
initial_guess=6)
score_adjusted_train = adjusted_score(odd_ratio(adjust_score_1(X_test_segment["score"])), bias = bias_train_set)
X_test_segment["score_adjusted"] = score_adjusted_train
# plot adjusted scores and save (to be tested)
plot_hist_scores(X_test_segment, score = "score", score_adjusted = "score_adjusted")
image_buffer = io.BytesIO()
plt.savefig(image_buffer, format='png')
image_buffer.seek(0)
file_name = "hist_score_adjusted"
FILE_PATH_OUT_S3 = PATH + file_name + type_of_activity + ".png"
with fs.open(FILE_PATH_OUT_S3, 'wb') as s3_file:
s3_file.write(image_buffer.read())
plt.close()
# comparison between score and adjusted score
X_test_table_adjusted_scores = X_test_segment.groupby("quartile")[["score","score_adjusted", "has_purchased"]].mean().reset_index().round(2)
file_name = "table_adjusted_score"
FILE_PATH_OUT_S3 = PATH + file_name + type_of_activity + ".csv"
with fs.open(FILE_PATH_OUT_S3, 'w') as file_out:
X_test_table_adjusted_scores.to_csv(file_out, index = False)
# project revenue
X_test_segment = project_tickets_CA (X_test_segment, "nb_tickets", "total_amount", "score_adjusted", duration_ref=1.5, duration_projection=1)
# table summarizing projections
X_test_expected_CA = round(summary_expected_CA(df=X_test_segment, segment="quartile", nb_tickets_expected="nb_tickets_expected", total_amount_expected="total_amount_expected", total_amount="total_amount"),2)
file_name = "table_expected_CA"
FILE_PATH_OUT_S3 = PATH + file_name + type_of_activity + ".csv"
with fs.open(FILE_PATH_OUT_S3, 'w') as file_out:
X_test_expected_CA.to_csv(file_out, index = False)

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@ -1,7 +1,5 @@
def odd_ratio(score) : def odd_ratio(score) :
""" """
Calculate the odd ratio from a score.
Args: Args:
- score (Union[float, int]): Score value. - score (Union[float, int]): Score value.
@ -102,13 +100,15 @@ def project_tickets_CA (df, nb_tickets, total_amount, score_adjusted, duration_r
duration_ratio = duration_ref/duration_projection duration_ratio = duration_ref/duration_projection
""" """
duration_ratio = duration_ref/duration_projection
df_output = df df_output = df
df_output["nb_tickets_projected"] = df_output[nb_tickets] / duration_ratio df_output.loc[:,"nb_tickets_projected"] = df_output.loc[:,nb_tickets] / duration_ratio
df_output["total_amount_projected"] = df_output[total_amount] / duration_ratio df_output.loc[:,"total_amount_projected"] = df_output.loc[:,total_amount] / duration_ratio
df_output["nb_tickets_expected"] = df_output[score_adjusted] * df_output["nb_tickets_projected"] df_output.loc[:,"nb_tickets_expected"] = df_output.loc[:,score_adjusted] * df_output.loc[:,"nb_tickets_projected"]
df_output["total_amount_expected"] = df_output[score_adjusted] * df_output["total_amount_projected"] df_output.loc[:,"total_amount_expected"] = df_output.loc[:,score_adjusted] * df_output.loc[:,"total_amount_projected"]
return df_output return df_output
@ -138,8 +138,6 @@ def summary_expected_CA(df, segment, nb_tickets_expected, total_amount_expected,
df_expected_CA.insert(2, "size_perct", 100 * df_expected_CA["size"]/df_expected_CA["size"].sum()) df_expected_CA.insert(2, "size_perct", 100 * df_expected_CA["size"]/df_expected_CA["size"].sum())
# compute share of CA recovered # compute share of CA recovered
duration_ref=1.5
duration_projection=1
duration_ratio=duration_ref/duration_projection duration_ratio=duration_ref/duration_projection
df_expected_CA["perct_revenue_recovered"] = 100 * duration_ratio * df_expected_CA[total_amount_expected] / \ df_expected_CA["perct_revenue_recovered"] = 100 * duration_ratio * df_expected_CA[total_amount_expected] / \